SUBTITLES:
Subtitles prepared by human
00:02
SO THEN YOU ASK YOUR QUESTION,
WELL, HOW MUCH IS THE MARKET
ANTICIPATED THAT ALREADY.
>> YEAH.
WELL, WE'RE UP 82% FROM THE
MARLOW
MARCH LOW, SCOTT, SO WE'RE
ANTICIPATING BETTER GROWTH
I'M NOT ROOTING FOR 10% GROWTH
EVERY QUARTER, FOR ARE YOU
PROBABLY BECAUSE THAT WILL LEAD
TO MUCH, MUCH HIGHER INFLATION
THE QUESTION IS, IS THIS AS GOOD
AS IT GETS AND WHEN DOES THE FED
PULL AWAY.
OH, BY THE WAY, TAXES ARE NOW
TOP OF MINE, AT LEAST WITH SOME
OF MY COLLEAGUES AND MYSELF AS
WELL, I THINK WE WILL BE ABLE TO
00:33
HANDLE THAT.
BUT NOW THEY'RE AT THE QUESTION
MARKS.
I THINK THAT'S WHERE THERE ARE
SOME SURVEYS OUT THERE LIKE THE
RBC SURVEY TODAY THAT WAS A
LITTLE MORE MUTED BUT IT IS
STILL BULLISH.
>> IT IS STILL BULLISH
BUT, JOHN, BARCLAYS IS OUT TODAY
RIGHT BEFORE WE CAME ON THE AIR
WITH A NOTE THAT SAYS THE BIDEN
TAXES WOULD SHAVE 8% IN EPS IN
2022
THAT HAS REAL RAMIFICATIONS FOR
STOCKS
NOW, THE MARKET IN SOME RESPECTS
IS OBVIOUSLY VOTING AND SAYING,
WELL, WE DON'T THINK THAT THE
BIDEN TAX CUTS ARE GOING TO
HAPPEN ANYWHERE NEAR THE DEGREE
THAT THE PRESIDENT THINKS THEY
01:04
MIGHT OR CERTAINLY WANTS THEM
AND WISHES THEM TO
THAT'S WHY THE STOCK MARKET IS
WHERE IT IS.
IF IT REALLY THOUGHT YOU WOULD
HAVE SOME TRANSFORMATIONAL TAX
CHANGES THE STOCK MARKET WOULD
BE ALREADY ANTICIPATING THAT,
RIGHT?
>> RIGHT, SCOTT.
I THINK WHAT THE PRESIDENT HAS
LAID OUT IS A PRUDENT PLAN IN
TERMS OF PAYING FOR SOME OF THIS
MASSIVE SPENDING THAT WE'VE GOT,
EVEN THOUGH THE SPENDING HAPPENS
OVER SEVEN YEARS AND THE
PAYMENTS, IF WE WERE ABLE TO
COLLECT THOSE TAXES, WOULD OCCUR
01:37
OVER 15 YEARS.
BUT YOU'RE RIGHT
THE MARKET IS SAYING RIGHT NOW,
WE DON'T REALLY THINK THAT THIS
WOULD HAPPEN, CERTAINLY NOT THIS
YEAR
COULD IT HAPPEN NEXT YEAR?
VERY UNLIKELY ALSO, SCOTT,
BECAUSE WE'RE GOING INTO
MIDTERMS IN 2022
SO I DON'T THINK WE'RE GOING TO
SEE IT HAPPENING IN EITHER OF
THESE TWO YEARS.
THE MARKET BEING A
FORWARD-LOOKING INSTRUMENT, IS
SAYING THAT, YOU KNOW, WE DO
NEED TO FIND WAYS TO PAY FOR IT,
WE DON'T THINK IT HAPPENS THIS
YEAR IN THE MIDST OF US COMING
OUT OF THE PANDEMIC.
02:08
WE DON'T WANT TO JUST HIT THE
BRAKES REALLY HARD, AND THE
LIKELIHOOD OF THAT OCCURRING
DURING MIDTERMS IS LIKEWISE NOT
VERY GOOD.
>> YEAH.
>> SO YOU'RE EXACTLY RIGHT.
>> IT DEPENDS.
>> YEAH, THE MARKET IS HANDY
CAPPING IT, SAYING, DON'T THINK
IT IS GOING TO HAPPEN.
>> BIDEN IS GOING TO TRY TO GET
DONE WHILE HE CAN GET IT DONE,
RIGHT?
>> YES, SIR.
>> HE MAY NOT HAVE THE MAJORITY,
EVEN THOUGH IT IS A TIE-BREAKER
IN THE SENATE, HE MAY NOT HAVE
THAT AFTER THE MIDTERM
ELECTIONS.
HE WILL TRY TO GET DONE WHAT HE
WANTS WHEN HE WANTS.
02:39
HE MAY NOT BE THINKING ABOUT
WHAT THE OTHER IMPLICATIONS OF
THAT ARE.
>> YES, SIR.
>> WHETHER THE STOCK MARKET IS
GOING TO LIKE IT, ET CETERA, OR
WHAT HAVE YOU.
NOW, WHAT DO YOU TAKE THOUGH,
SARAT, FROM THE FACT YOU HAVE A
PRETTY BROAD SWATH OF STOCKS
HITTING NEW HIGHS THIS WEEK?
FACEBOOK, ALPHABET, MICROSOFT,
TALK ABOUT THOSE AD NAUSEAM, I
TOTALLY GET IT
BUT TALK ABOUT THESE SECTORS,
RIGHT?
A LOT OF HOMEBUILDERS, A LOT OF
RETAILERS, SHIPPERS, FINANCIALS,
HEALTH CARE, MATERIALS, A LOT OF
BIG-NAME STOCKS THAT OUR VIEWERS
03:10
OWN, SARAT, ARE HITTING NEW
HIGHS THIS WEEK.
THAT HAS TO BE A BULLISH SIGN.
>> IT IS A BULLISH SIGN, AND I
THINK THE POINTS THAT WE HAVE
BEEN TALKING ABOUT IS WHAT IS
THE MARKET BELIEVING GOING
FORWARD IN TERMS OF INTEREST
RATES.
ARE THEY GOING TO BE GOING UP OR
IS IT A TRANSIENT TIME OF HIGHER
INFLATION?
THAT'S WHY YOU ARE SEEING A
BROAD-BASED RALLY, NOT JUST IN
FINANCIALS AND CYCLICALS AND
ENERGY, BUT YOU ARE ALSO SEEIC
IT IN THE TECHNOLOGY SIDE.
I THINK THE OTHER SIDE, CONSUMER
STAPLES IS ANOTHER AREA THAT I
THINK OUR VIEWERS SHOULD ALSO
03:42
LOOK AT.
WHAT WE'RE HAVING IS EARNINGS
ARE STRONG
THEY'RE GOING TO GET STRONGER,
AND I THINK GOING FORWARD WHERE
INVESTORS SHOULD LOOK FOR IS
WHAT ARE GOING TO BE SOME OF THE
HEADWINDS, BUT AT THE SAME TIME
WE'VE GOT AN ECONOMY THAT IS
THRIVING AND ALL SECTORS RIGHT
NOW SEEM TO BE PARTICIPATING IN
IT, TOO, WHICH IS A GOOD THING
EVEN IF MULTIPLES DON'T EXPAND,
I WANT TO GET BACK TO THE
MULTIPLE IDEA, IF YOUR EARNINGS
ARE EXPANDING YOUR STOCKS ARE
GOING TO GROW AS FAST AS YOUR
EARNINGS
I THINK THAT'S SOMETHING WE HAVE
04:13
TO LOOK FORWARD TO BECAUSE RIGH
NOW THTH
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