Why Elon Musk says we're living in a simulation

Why Elon Musk says we're living in a simulation

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00:00
Elon Musk thinks it's almost certain that we were living in a computer simulation there's a 1 in billions chance that this is based reality he says that humans are basically some advanced version of the sims yes that idea sounds a pretty absurd but we shouldn't just write it off people used to think the solar system worked like this but almost 2,000 years before Galileo proved it didn't Aristarchus of Samos posited the exact same crazy idea reality is probably not as it seems musk is echoing a paper on this theory by philosopher Nick Bostrom
00:32
his argument goes like this hold 40 40 years ago we had pong like two rectangles and a dot thirty years after pong we got the Sims now 40 years later we have photorealistic 3d simulations with millions people playing simultaneously and it's getting better every year so let's go about 10,000 years into the future it's possible that when we get there civilization will be entirely gone because there is a ceiling to our advancement maybe it's because of global warming or self-replicating robots if civilization stops advancing then
01:04
that may be due to some calamitous event that erases civilization but another possibility is that if we keep advancing and assuming everything in the physical world can be simulated eventually will simulate ourselves every synapse in the entire human brain for everyone on earth getting enough computing power to run billions of ancestor simulations could be a problem but boasting thinks we'd send tiny self-replicating robots to other planets which would turn the
01:35
planet into a huge computer and some of the simulations would start making their own simulations in this scenario there are billions of universes that are indistinguishable from our own that means that chances are we are in one of the simulated universes and given the other possibility which is that human civilization has an inevitable ceiling Elon Musk thinks we better hope that we're in a simulation either we're going to create simulations that are interesting indistinct from reality or civilization will cease to exist those are the two
02:05
there is one other possibility maybe future humans just don't want to run ancestor simulations maybe they think it's an ethical because there is a tremendous amount of suffering in the world and that suffering would still feel real - simulated humans or maybe they have other priorities so to recap there are three possibilities one humans go extinct before we're able to run a simulation this big - humans don't run simulations because it's wrong or boring number three we are living in a simulation Elon
02:36
Musk thinks that there's only a tiny chance we are in scenario 1 or 2 the philosopher Nick Bostrom thinks it's more like a 20 percent chance that we're in a simulation but if you're not into futuristic predictions boström thinks this argument provides other rewards he says it suggests naturalistic analogies to certain traditional religious conceptions in other words for living in a simulation there is a higher level being but it's some version of us this leads to a rabbit hole of conversations which is why Elon Musk has rules about
03:08
when he could talk about this it got to the point where basically every conversation was was the AIS AI / simulation conversation and my brother and I finally agreed that we would ban such conversations if we're ever in a hot tub like ah

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